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Registros recuperados: 284
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Informal Insurance in the Presence of Poverty Traps: Evidence from Southern Ethiopia AgEcon
Santos, Paulo; Barrett, Christopher B..
Fieldwork for this paper was conducted under the Pastoral Risk Management (PARIMA) project of the Global Livestock Collaborative Research Support Program (GL CRSP), funded by the Office of Agriculture and Food Security, Global Bureau, USAID, under grant number DAN-1328-G-00-0046-00, and analysis was underwritten by the USAID SAGA cooperative agreement, grant number HFM-A-00-01-00132-00. Financial support was also provided by the Social Science Research Council's Program in Applied Economics on Risk and Development (through a grant from the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation), The Pew Charitable Trusts (through the Christian Scholars Program of the University of Notre Dame), the Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (Portugal), and the Graduate...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Informal insurance; Social networks; Poverty traps; Ethiopia; Risk and Uncertainty; Z13; I3; O13.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25487
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Innovation Behaviour At Farm Level – Selection And Identification AgEcon
Sauer, Johannes; Zilberman, David.
Using a squential logit model and a mixed-effects logistic regression approach this empirical study investigates factors for the adoption of automatic milking technology (AMS) at the farm level accounting for problems of sequential sample selection and behaviour identification. The results suggest the importance of the farmer’s risk perception, significant effects of peer-group behaviour, and a positive impact of previous innovation experiences.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Technology Adoption; Mixed-Effects Regression; Risk; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61354
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INNOVATION IN THE FOOD AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES: ACOMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM AgEcon
Boehlje, Michael; Broring, Stefanie; Roucan-Kane, Maud.
Innovation is critical to the long-term success of a firm as well as the economic health of an industry and the overall economy. This manuscript presents an overview of the management literature regarding technology and innovation management. It also describes the unique characteristics of the food and agricultural sector and offers a research agenda to extend the management literature to the agribusiness sector.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Innovation; Agribusiness; Portfolio of options; Risk; Agribusiness; International Development; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; L24; D81; O31; O32.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56389
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Introduction to the Special Feature: Adaptive Management - Scientifically Sound, Socially Challenged? Ecology and Society
Johnson, Barry L; USGS, Upper Midwest Enviromental Sciences Center; barry_johnson@usgs.gov.
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Adaptive management; Decision making; Ecosystem management; Experimentation; Flexibility; Implementation; Management agencies; Resources; Risk; Social aspects; Special feature; Stakeholders..
Ano: 1999
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INVESTIGATING THE IMPLICATIONS OF MULTI-CROP REVENUE INSURANCE FOR PRODUCER RISK MANAGEMENT AgEcon
Miller, J. Corey; Coble, Keith H.; Barnett, Barry J..
This study investigates the potential for alternative multi-crop revenue insurance designs in comparison to single crop yield and revenue insurance designs. A non-parametric multi-crop insurance model is developed which subsumes the single crop designs. The results compare alternative designs in terms of rate levels and risk reduction gains for representative Mississippi producers.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Revenue insurance; Risk; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15802
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Irrigation Technology Adoption Under Factor Price Uncertainty: Groundwater- Irrigated Production in Nebraska, 1960 -- 2005 AgEcon
Savage, Jeff; Brozovic, Nicholas.
The development of groundwater-irrigated production technologies, fed by water from the Ogallala Aquifer, facilitated the development of agriculture in the High Plains region of the United States that began during the 1960s. The current rate of pumping for irrigation in the region is causing the aquifer to be depleted in many areas, which is cause for concern from a socioeconomic and environmental standpoint. The goal of this paper is to assess the factors that affect the decision to adopt groundwater-irrigated production by farmers, in the presence of risk differentiated by heterogeneous farmland quality and groundwater depth. A binary choice model of adoption is estimated for Nebraska, from 1960 – 2005. The results suggest that farmers consider climate...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Irrigation; Technology Adoption; Risk; Ogallala Aquifer; Crop Production/Industries; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Q15; Q32; Q55.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49585
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Is geographic diversification sufficient to limit contract grower risk? AgEcon
Geyser, Mariette; Louw, Andre; Botha, L..
Lending and financial institutions have looked for a variety of ways to expand their portfolios into agriculture, but because of the risks associated with lending to farmers who lack traditional forms of collateral, they face price and yield risks, causing these inroads to be limited. Market-based instruments are readily available for price risk. Organised exchanges offering the most basic of these instruments, futures and options, have operated for a long time, providing transparency to the market and low-cost risk transfer tools for those able to access them. While the use of price risk management instruments is an incomplete solution, it has sufficient merits on its own and will make the overall burden of risk more bearable. The use of these instruments...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Geographic diversification; Contract grower; Risk; Lending; Rainfall; Yield; Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49163
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Issues at the Forefront of Public Policy for Environmental Risk: Comments for the American Meteorological Society's Annual Policy Colloquium AgEcon
MacAuley, Molly K..
The lay of the policy land for addressing and managing environmental risk includes the hillock of the precautionary principle, the mountain of the practice and ethics of monetary valuation, and the tectonic plates of real-world innovations in markets and trading exchanges for nonmarketed environmental goods. This paper offers an overview of these contemporary and as yet unresolved issues and asks how each might be addressed in disparate environmental risks such as lightning, climate change, and severe weather. The overview focuses on issues that may be of interest to the American Meteorological Society's annual policy colloquium.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk; Environment; Public policy; Economics; Environmental Economics and Policy; Q00; D89.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10494
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Joint-liability borrowing decisions under risk: Empirical evidence from rural microfinance in Ethiopia AgEcon
Berhane Tesfay, G.; Gardebroek, Cornelis.
This paper investigates borrowing decisions of rural households from a microfinance in Tigray, Ethiopia using household panel data on 5 years and a dynamic panel probit model. The theoretical model takes two types of risk involved in joint-liability lending explicitly into account: risk of partner failure and the risk of losing future access to credit. Empirical results show that these risks are important in explaining borrowing decisions. Another finding is that the probability of repeat-borrowing is higher than the probability of new participation, with possible implications that perceived joint-liability threats deter participation and easing stringent punishments might help poor households’ access to credit.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Microfinance; Risk; Dynamic panel probit; Financial Economics.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44202
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La comercialización de agua en tiempo de sequía: el papel del riesgo y de las expectativas en los mercados de aguas en la agricultura AgEcon
Hadjigeorgalis, Ereney.
Published by Asociación de Economistas Agrarios de Chile
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Uncertainty; Risk; Water resources; Water rights; Drought.; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97347
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La diversidad de actividades económicas de los grupos domésticos rurales en la valoración del riesgo por parte de las microfinancieras. Colegio de Postgraduados
Sánchez González, Carmen Lissette.
El microcrédito es un servicio que las personas de bajos ingresos utilizan para contrarrestar su condición de pobreza ya que, cuando se encuentra a su alcance, pueden poner en marcha proyectos y/o actividades de tipo económico que contribuyen a mejorar sus ingresos. A pesar de que la importante función del microcrédito ha sido objeto de amplio reconocimiento, incluso por parte de organismos nacionales e internacionales, la cobertura en la atención de clientes sigue siendo muy limitada. La falta de cobertura, por parte de las Instituciones Microfinancieras (IMF), resulta particularmente aguda en el caso del sector rural como resultado de las complejas condiciones del mismo y de la restringida capacidad de las instituciones microfinancieras. No...
Palavras-chave: Actividades económicas; Riesgo; Microcrédito; Microfinanzas; Microfinancieras; Economical activities; Risk; Microcredit; Micro financial; Economía; Maestría; Economics.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10521/663
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Le risque sanitaire ciguatérique en Polynésie française : étude des représentations sociales auprès de la population tahitienne ArchiMer
Tchekemian, Anthony.
This social science study focuses on the risk from ciguatera that is affecting the Polynesians' health. Compared to the global population exposure to ciguatera health risks, the situation of French Polynesia is particularly worrisome, in view of the number of people poisoned each year. Exposure to this risk depends directly on the marine ecosystem, but also on lifestyles and individual responsibilities. This study focuses on the Tahitians' representations of the ciguatera risk, that is, their knowledge, awareness, and acceptance of the health risk resulting from the consumption of fish likely to be infected. It provides a better understanding of the cultural, social, and economic factors that explain and justify the consumption of potentially at-risk fish.
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ciguatera; Representations; Natural resources; Risk; Health; Tahiti.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00660/77229/78663.pdf
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Les risques conchylicoles en Baie de Quiberon. Deuxième partie : le risque de prédation sur l’huître creuse Crassostrea gigas. Rapport final du projet Risco 2010-2013 ArchiMer
Mazurie, Joseph; Stanisiere, Jean-yves; Bouget, Jean-francois; Langlade, Aime; Leclerc, Emilie; Quinsat, Kevin; Herve, Gilles; Augustin, Jean-marie; Ehrhold, Axel; Sinquin, Jean-marc; Meidi-deviarni, Ika; Goubert, Evelyne; Cochet, Helene; Dreano, Alain.
This study (“Risco”), implicating both industry, socio-economic experts and biologists, was funded by the Regional Council of Brittany, for 3 years (2010-2012), to investigate about the causes of oysters (Crassostrea gigas) mortalities in the bay of Quiberon (South Brittany, France). The protocol including both a sonar and video visualization of the bottom, and a monthly survey of 15 experimental oyster structures, allowed to assess the risk due to predation. A clear spatial distribution of the predatory effect was evidenced, with starfish (Asterias rubens and Marthasterias glacialis) predominating in the North-East sector, and boring snails (Ocenebra erinacea and Pterophora inornata) in the South-Center area.. The main mortalities from these predators...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Baie de Quiberon; Huître; Crassostrea gigas; Risque; Mortalité; Prédation; Étoiles de mer; Bigorneaux perceurs; Risco; Bay of Quiberon; Oyster; Crassostrea gigas; Risk; Mortality; Predation; Starfish; Oyster drills; Risco.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00180/29130/27534.pdf
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LIMITATIONS OF VALUE-AT-RISK (VAR) FOR BUDGET ANALYSIS AgEcon
Gustafson, Cole R..
Value-at-risk (VaR) is increasingly being applied to problems in agriculture, especially valuation of crop insurance and agricultural lending risk exposure. VaR conveys the probability that losses exceeding a threshold will likely occur within a specified timeframe. However, it does not provide the expected value of losses, should they happen. When determining risk exposure for budget analysis, this latter amount is of keen interest. Expected tail loss (ETL) methods are developed and compared with VaR.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk; Value-at-Risk; Expected Tail Loss; Crop insurance; Loan loss; Agricultural Finance; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23612
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Linking marketing choices with farming practices of grain producers: A farm level modeling approach applied to the South-west of France AgEcon
Ricome, Aymeric; Kephaliacos, Charilaos; Carpy-Goulard, Francoise; Ridier, Aude; Chaib, Karim.
With the increasing commodity prices volatility over the last years and the successive agricultural policy reforms, European grain producers face greater uncertainty. To better understand consequences of a price risk increase on production decisions, marketing decisions and farm revenue as well as linkage between production and marketing decisions, we develop a multiperiodic risk farm model. Production decisions concern selections of crop mix and farming practices (conventional or integrated farming) while marketing decisions focus on four types of pricing arrangements. The model is applied to a representative farmer of a region located in the Southwest of France. The results exposed in this paper shows that with a price risk increase, production...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Multiperiod farm model; Marketing contracts; Risk; Common agricultural policy; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60914
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Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting AgEcon
Brittain, Lee; Garcia, Philip; Irwin, Scott H..
The paper examines empirical returns from holding thirty- and ninety-day call and put positions, and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle options markets. In both markets, implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor of realized volatility, with bias most prominent in live cattle. While significant returns exist holding several market positions, most strategies are strongly affected by a drift in futures market prices. However, the returns from selling live cattle puts are persistent, and evidence from straddle returns identifies that the market overprices volatility. This overpricing is consistent with a short-term risk premium whose effect is magnified by extreme changes in market conditions.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Live cattle; Feeder cattle; Options; Returns; Risk; Volatility forecasting; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Farm Management; Financial Economics; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53038
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Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting AgEcon
Brittain, Lee; Garcia, Philip; Irwin, Scott H..
This paper examines returns from holding 30- and 90-day call and put positions, and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle options markets. Implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor of realized volatility, with bias most pronounced in live cattle. While significant returns exist from several positions, strategies are strongly affected by drifts in futures prices. However, returns from live cattle puts are persistent, and evidence from 30-day straddle returns indicates the live cattle market overprices volatility. Overpricing is consistent with volatility risk, the effect of which is magnified by extreme market conditions.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Feeder cattle; Live cattle; Options; Returns; Risk; Volatility forecasting; Livestock Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/105515
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Local Ownership in Biofuels Production: A Strategy for Rural Development? AgEcon
Hueth, Brent; Walker, William D..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Biofuels; Local ownership; Rural development; Risk; Investment; Community/Rural/Urban Development.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94690
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LOGISTICAL COSTS AND RISKS OF MARKETING GENETICALLY MODIFIED WHEAT AgEcon
Schlecht, Shannon M.; Wilson, William W.; Dahl, Bruce L..
Genetically modified (GM) grains have increased in importance. Moving biotech grains from producers to processors is a challenge for the grain handling system that could involve increased segregations. The objective of this research is to determine how testing strategies affect the logistical costs of a grain pipeline when GM wheat is present. A logistical model was developed and simulated to analyze impacts of uncertainty in demand, receipts, test accuracy, rail deliveries, and transit time. Sensitivities were conducted on certain variables to determine their effects on logistical costs. Analysis revealed that logistical costs are impacted by the number of quality categories and uncertainties in the system. Adding GM grains increased costs due to...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Genetically Modified (GM) Grains; Logistical Costs; Testing; Risk; Segregation; Crop Production/Industries; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23581
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Machinery-Sharing Contractual Issues and Impacts on Cash Flows of Agribusinesses AgEcon
Wolfley, Jared L.; Mjelde, James W.; Klinefelter, Danny A.; Salin, Victoria.
Contractual arrangements for joint machinery ownership between independent agribusinesses are explored. A two-farm economic simulation model of locations in Texas, Colorado, and Montana is developed to provide insight associated with sharing combines. Important variables include combine size (efficiency), yield losses resulting from untimely access to equipment, the penalty structure for untimely delivery, and cost-sharing and depreciation deductions claimed between producers. Combine sharing is risk-reducing in most cases. The gains to both parties are lowest when harvesting periods overlap. While the value of sharing is positive under many scenarios, benefits from sharing are small relative to total farm revenue.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Combines; Machinery sharing; Risk; Simulation; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/105536
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